NFL Week 12 Thanksgiving Day

November 22, 2012 by


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  • The Star* rating is how much I like that team against the spread.  14* is my favorite pick.
  • The bold team indicates the team I like against the spread.  (ATS)
  •  The CAPITAL team is the home team.

Gamblers Key

O/U – Over/Under

ATS – Against the Spread

DOG – Underdog

FAV -Favorite

CON – Conference

DIV – Division

SU – Strait Up

Happy Thanksgiving everyone, I love having three football games on Thursday! Soon the Saturday games will air as well. On this day there is a crazy trend and coincidence going on. Turkey Day FAV off back-to-back wins are 18-1 SU and 17-2 ATS since 1988. Today all three FAV are coming off of a pair of wins! Now that’s a wild coincidence.

**LOCK** 13*************

New England Patriots -7 over NEW YORK JETS by 21

Brady going for turkey day MVP!

New England did take a big blow to the stomach last week losing their top player in Gronkowski. Most people say that 7 points is too much when your best player goes down. Last I checked the Pats best player is the champion under the helm. Tom Brady will be more than ready to face the Jets 21st ranked defense in points against. New England’s new addition with Aqib Talib makes their defense that much better. They are going to put a lot of pressure on the Struggling Sanchez and handle the Jets wide receivers in man to man coverage. It’s about that time where you hit the couch after stuffing your face to watch the Patriots Masacre! of the Jets in New York. Brady for your turkey day MVP

  • New York is 2-11 ATS when playing at home against New England

**LOCK**11 **********(UPSET ALERT)

DETROIT LIONS +4 over Houston Texans by 6

Jonathan Joseph out, Megatron looking to have a big day

Detroit is hosting a monster in the Houston Texans who are coming off of a huge offensive performance.  One thing I know from experience is Ford Field will be going nuts and very loud!  Home field is going to play a big advantage in this match-up.  Every thanksgiving trend is completely in the Texans corner.  Not today my friends as the Lions are from the same DIV as the Green Bay Packers who handled the Texans a few weeks ago.  One key injury is Jonathan Joseph the Texans #1 corner is out.  Megatron is going to have a huge day and get him self some turkey.  The Lions are playing solid football and are very scary on offense.  They also have a fast defense who can get after Arian Foster and slow him down enough to get a victory. Mikel Leshoure has found rhythm, now they just need Calvin to start scoring.  Detroit is in a must win at home on primetime television.  It’s about that time you put the Turkey in the oven and today on thanksgiving the Lions will cook the Texans like thanksgiving Turkey!

  • No good Lions trends


DALLAS COWBOYS -3 over Washington Redskins by 6

Can D Ware contain RG3?

I know its like a rollarcoaster when watching Romo perform, but on thanksgiving day Romo has some unbeleivable numbers.  Him and Dez Bryant are coming off of a huge performance and it looks as if they are clicking.  The Cowboys have found a run game and they will need to use it against the Redskins solid rushing defense.  Romo is up against the leagues 29th ranked secondary and will have yet another big turkey day! Felix Jones is running the ball hard and the Cowboys offensive line is improving.  Robert Griffin III is a wild card, but the Cowboys have an ace up their sleve in Demarcus Ware one of the leagues best pass rushers.  Robert Griffin you are the man and will have your day, but not today on your first Thanksgiving game.  Look for the trends to fall in place here on turkey day as the Cowboys enter this competition with back to back wins and will go for three strait.

  • Tony Romo is 5-0 on turkey day with 14 touchdowns!