From here on out Earl and I will be giving you our NFL picks vs the spread.  We’ll be keeping score throughout the rest of the season to see who’s got the juice now, man.  Being TSB’s top NFL analyst you’ll see my picks first, followed by Earl’s.  We’ll be covering every game and will be sure to highlight our best bets every week in bold.

Dallas -1.5 VS Detroit

Jacksonville +7 VS New Orleans

San Francisco +9 @ Philadelphia

Washington -1.5 @ St Louis

Cleveland -1 VS Tennessee

Buffalo -3 @ Cincinnatti

Kansas City +1.5 VS Minnesota

Carolina +6.5 @ Chicago

Houston -3.5 VS Pittsburgh

Atlanta -4.5 @ Seattle

NYG -1.5 @ Arizona

San Diego -7 VS Miami

Green Bay -12.5 VS Denver

New England -4.5 @ Oakland

NYJ +3.5 @ Baltimore

Tampa Bay -10 VS Indianapolis

While lines are subject to change, these are the picks I’m locking in.  I feel most confident with ATL @ SEA.  While the dirty birds sit at 1-2, the Seahawks are one of the NFL’s worst teams.  I’m expecting a blow out.

You’re up Earl, let’s see what you’ve got.


OK Hook…It’s on like Donkey Kong!

Dallas -1.5 vs Detroit

New Orleans -7 @ Jacksonville

San Fran +9 @ Philly

St. Louis +1.5 vs Washington

Cleveland -1 vs Tennessee

Buffalo -3 @ Cincinnati

Minnesota -1.5 @ Kansas City

Pittsburgh +3.5 @ Houston

Atlanta -4.5 @ Seattle

Arizona +1.5 vs Giants

San Diego -7 vs Miami

Green Bay -12.5 vs Denver

New England -4.5 @ Oakland

Jets +3.5 @ Baltimore

Indianapolis +10 @ Tampa Bay

Lock it up right now.  Drew Brees and the Saints are going to march into Jacksonville and lay a world of hurt on Blaine Gabbert.  The Saints make bad QB’s look REAL bad.  Sorry Mr. Gabbert.  Jacksonville can’t score any points, and to hang with the Saints, you gotta score at least 21.  We all know that ain’t happening.  I’m picking a 31-10 rout.


  • hooktsb

    Looks like you left out the Bears/Panthers game, Earl. Going in to Monday night I have the edge 9-6 to 5-9. We’ll keep this going all year long though so our differing Monday night picks may make a difference in the end.

  • Ken

    I took the jets getting the points partly because you both agreed on it. I don’t blame you guys at all. I’ve never done well putting money on the Jets, and as a rule I usually don’t. What’s the thinking (besides the obvious Peyton Manning arguement) for the colts tonight?

  • Scott Ilowite

    Gotta like the Indy gettin’ the points. When Painter took over last week, the Colts started to move the ball. Freeman hasn’t been superman like last year. Colts D is better than the #’s indicate. I like Tampa 23-16.

  • Scott Ilowite

    Damn, I would have taken the Bears….I’ll take that as a loss

  • hooktsb

    Ken I thought Nick Mangold was going to be playing as the injury report listed him as probable Thursday night. Had I known he wouldn’t be playing I would have flipped the script and gone with Baltimore. Jets have struggled against them in the past and the o-line REALLY suffered without their all-pro center. If Mangold sits again next week, take the Pats and lay the wood (I’m guessing it’ll be a 6-8 point spread). Sorry about that buddy, we can’t get em all right.

    As for the game tonight, I don’t think the Colts have a chance. I’m confident I’ll be sitting at 10-6 on the week while Earl drops another one. Curtis Painter wouldn’t make most teams’ practice squad. Tampa covers by the half in this one.

  • hooktsb

    As you can see Earl and I have different feelings on this one. Earl did pick correctly on his lock of the week while I misfired. I guess it comes down to who you have more confidence in.

  • Ken

    I did take NO so, I’m feeling Earl….and in tonights game I’m seeing the line at 10.5 and that’s a wide spread. That said I have no idea who this Painter guys is, and I follow football. I might flip a coin on this or step away entirely. I’ll keep you posted. Seperately no hard feelings on the Jets, it was an impulsive move when I picked the Giants and late in the 4th I thought they were going to lose. I should have done my homework. That was definitely the absence of Mangold, Sanchez couldn’t get in sync.

  • hooktsb

    Decent article here about Painter’s first start P Riv, Rodgers, Scott Covington and Shaun King are the last 4 QBs to have their first start on MNF and they all won. I’m not a huge fan of stats like those but you’re right, 10.5 points is a lot.

    Whichever team you choose, good luck. I promise I wont say I told you so when Tampa wins by 13.

  • Ken

    Holy crap Earl, you have a gift. You called 23-16, not that far off. I ended up taking the points thanks.

  • Scott Ilowite

    No prob Ken. 10 was way too many points. Painter looked pretty decent out there.

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