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“Ugly girlfriend.  No confidence.”  –Moneyball

Possibly my favorite sports movie quote of all time.  Check out the above picture.  That’s Matt Ryan and his fiance.  Now check out the picture below:

That’s Aaron Rodgers’ girlfriend, Tom Brady’s wife, and Drew Brees’ wife.  You see what I’m trying to get at here?  Matt Ryan will never be elite.  I don’t care if Julio Jones and Roddy White are great receivers.  The Falcons would have to clone Jerry Rice and Michael Irvin, and trade for Megatron in order for Matt Ryan to be an elite Fantasy Football QB.  Until that happens, he’ll continue to put up OK (not great) numbers.

Matt Ryan finished last year as the 8th overall ranked Fantasy Football QB.  Granted Julio Jones missed 4 games, but he had Roddy White the entire year and Tony Gonzalez was a year younger than he is today.  Michael Turner was still fat and slow, but not as fat and slow as he’s been this pre-season.  I’m expecting a marginally better season in 2012, but he’s at best the #9 overall Fantasy QB.  The 3 guys with the hot WAGs, Matthew Stafford, Cam Newton, Tony Romo, and both Mannings are better options this year.  Throw Ryan’s name in a hat with Michael Vick and Philip Rivers- whichever one you come out with shouldn’t matter.

Matt Ryan isn’t the only player that other “analysts” have a boner for leading into this year’s Fantasy Football season.  There are several names that these pundits have been touting as potential breakout players this season, but you shouldn’t buy all of them.  Leading off with Matty Ice, here’s my list of players other analysts love that you shouldn’t overpay for:

Matt Ryan, QB ATL- his ceiling is Tony Romo, but his basement is Matt Schaub.  With a current ADP of 54 he’s going in the middle of the 5th round.  Yikes.   I’d rather have Peyton Manning or Philip Rivers in the 6th.

Brandon Lloyd, WR NE- like his talent, love his QB, hate his situation.  Welker, Gronk, and Aaron Hernandez need their targets too.  Not to mention the Patriots playbook is more Da Vinci Code than Curious George.  Oddly enough, Lloyd’s ADP is 55, right behind Matt Ryan.  People drafting Lloyd in the 5th are hoping for 2nd round production.  I’m much more comfortable with him in the 6th.

Rob Gronkowski, TE NE– don’t get me wrong, The Gronk is a top tier TE.  While I favor Jimmy Graham, Gronk will be the 1st or 2nd TE off the board with an ADP of 14.  14!  That’s the 2nd pick in the 2nd round.  For a TE.  Even when Antonio Gates was the only TE worth using an early draft pick for a few years back, he was still going in the 3rd round.  Use a 2nd round pick on a TE and watch your team crash and burn.

Ryan Mathews, RB SD– before the car accident, some analysts had Mathews ranked as high as 4th overall.  Before he broke his clavicle on his first carry of the first pre-season game, he was ranked as high as 7th overall.  While he claims to be ahead of schedule, he’ll probably miss Week 1 and possibly Week 2.  With an ADP of 24 you’re taking a gamble if you pick Mathews before the 3rd round.  Even if he is the go-to-guy in San Diego, you can’t score any Fantasy Football points from the sideline.

Demaryius Thomas, WR DEN– I actually like Demaryius Thomas as a low-end WR2, high-end WR3.  With an ADP of 51 (a full 19 spots ahead of teammate Eric Decker), I hate the value you’re getting there at the beginning of the 5th round.  Eric Decker in the late 6th is great.  Thomas in the 5th, not so much.

Any Defense or Kicker before the last 2 rounds– Nothing will hurt your fantasy team more than drafting a defense or a kicker too early.  Pittsburgh was the pre-season 3rd overall ranked DEF last year.  They finished 15th.  Detroit was projected 13th and finished 2nd overall.  I can give a similar example with kickers, but you catch my drift.  Seriously, wait til the end of the draft no matter how much you like Patrick Willis’ K-Swiss commercials.

    Comments

  • baggydizzle


    I fully advocate picking Graham and Gronk in the late first round. They are far and away the best players at their position and can give you a significant edge there. In fact, you take away every single Gronk TD and he still has the 2nd most fantasy points of any TE last year.

  • KDubSack


    Sick Matty ICE article, hows that panning out for you? Idiot.

    • Earl


      Two weeks in and he’s done very well. Hopefully he’ll keep it up for his fantasy owners.

    • HookTSB


      Two weeks does not make a season. Your boy Matty Ice had the ball the entire game Monday night and threw for only 219 yards and 2 TDs. Remind me how that compares to say, Eli Manning’s stats in Week 2? I’ll gladly take the Wonderlic or any IQ test sitting next to you and we’ll see who the “idiot” is. If Matt Ryan finishes the season ranked higher than 8th overall in QB fantasy points, then you can talk and tell me I was wrong.

    • HookTSB


      I forgot to mention, after a great Week 1, Matt Ryan was the 11th-13th ranked QB (depending on your scoring system) in Week 2. But I guess you’re jumping on the waiver wire to grab Alex Smith or Sam Bradford (currently ranked 5th and 6th overall for QBs after 2 weeks) to back up your 4th or 5th round selection, just in case. Please let me join your fantasy league, I’ll gladly take your money.

  • colincowherd


    Each week Matt Ryan will prove this to be one of the most moronic articles ever written.

    • Earl


      Thank you to the person using “Colin Cowherd” as his/her name. KUTGW

    • HookTSB


      How’s Brandon Lloyd or Gronkowski doing? How bout Ryan Mathews? San Francisco Defense is currently ranked 26th in fantasy. Take a look at your league and see where in the standings the teams that picked Gronk or Graham in the 2nd round or a defense before the last 2 rounds. I was dead on with my comments on all of those.

      Matt Ryan is off to a red hot start and has proven me wrong so far. He’s playing like an NFL MVP. Will he keep it up? Who knows? It’s a long season. He has decent matchups until Week 8 and should continue to roll. If you ignored my advice and picked him up, great job. Maybe you can write for us and share some of your knowledge with the rest of the world.

  • YoMomma


    Dear whoever wrote this,

    Matt Ryan has been the best qb in the league so far and falcons are 6-0! In short SUCK IT!

  • YoMomma


    Here is an RECENT picture. Not something taken at a college frat party. Tool bag.

    https://twitter.com/i/#!/sryan03/media/slideshow?url=http%3A%2F%2Finstagr.am%2Fp%2FOrF8AzBFhl%2F

    • HookTSB


      Sweet instagram photo, brah. I know a ton of ugly chicks that use instagram filters to make themselves look better. Doesn’t make them hot. Face it, his wife is a 4 1/2, a 6 with instagram filters.

  • Earl


    Matt Ryan has had one good game in about 6 weeks now. Dude is a turd.

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